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Weather Forecast Uncertaintly Management and Display

R. Lefevre, J. Pfautz, and K. Jones

Proceedings of the 21st International Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, San Diego, CA (January)

This paper presents initial results from the Weather Prediction Uncertainty Management And Representation (PUMAR) project sponsored by the Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range in New Mexico. The goal of the PUMAR project was to cognitively engineer a user-friendly software tool to effectively communicate weather forecast uncertainty to a decision-maker assessing weather impacts.

A representative meteorological infrared satellite image and 500 hPa geopotential height contours (courtesy of the California Regional Weather Server, http://www.squal.sfsu.edu)

A representative meteorological infrared satellite image

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